W1A. Probability vs. Intuition
Science,Tech,Econ & Math | Registration opens 1/1/2026 9:00 AM
We often rely on our intuition to make decisions. In this presentation we explore the mathematics that describe the likelihood of events occurring using probability. We will compare answers based upon our intuition with the likelihood of events occurring based upon probability. Together, we will explore three well-known math problems: The Handshake Problem, The Birthday Paradox, and The Monty Hall Problem. Within the context of these three problems, we will consider and discuss probability versus intuition.
- Photo courtesy of Shutterstock
Beth Goldberg
Presenter
Beth Goldberg (LLI) is a New York State Master Teacher Emeritus with a BA in mathematics from Wellesley College and an MBA from MIT. After approximately 20 years in banking, she relocated to the Hudson Valley and pursued a new career in education through Bard's Master of Arts in Teaching program. Selected for NYS's four-year Master Teacher program, she taught secondary school mathematics for nearly 20 years and served as math department chair until retiring in June 2024.