A BILL Tea & Talk with Professor Chris Ellis from Bucknell University:
POST ELECTION ANALYSIS

This talk will explore what pollsters and political scientists have to say about the results of the 2024 presidential election. We’ll work through how both scientific- and market-based forecasts of the election thought about what would happen, and how and why those predictions matched (or did not match) reality. We’ll also discuss the challenges and benefits of polling in the modern, "post-landline" context, and how we should think of what polls are able to do in this environment. Finally, and most importantly, we’ll discuss what the results mean for American public policy and the near- and long-term, with a particular focus on the limits of policymaking in a polarized age.

CHRIS ELLIS is a professor of political science at Bucknell University. He teaches courses in American politics, public opinion and the politics of higher education. He is the author of four books and many journal articles on ideology, political representation and American elections. Ellis is the director of the Bucknell survey research laboratory and multidisciplinary effort at Bucknell to support faculty research and engage students in the process of survey research. Chris earned his doctorate at the University of North Carolina and his bachelor of arts from Bucknell University.